East Coast Gambler -

This year I’ve learned a lot about sports betting.  I like to bet with the trends and research whenever I can.  In the past I would usually make a handful of prop bets to go along with my game bet.  This year I fell asleep looking at the prop bets.  Props don’t pay out well, unless you go for long shots, which are kind of a crap shot.

This year I only went with one prop bet and one game bet.  Both bets can be summed up with one image.

I have the Colts -4.5, which I picked earlier this week.  I only went with one prop bet: Peyton Manning will throw a touchdown in the 1st quarter at +165.  There weren’t any other big + bets available that seemed interesting or possible to me, so I only went with one prop.

All of my odds come from sportsbook.com.  Click the banner below for up to date odds.

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JMP has been awesome to make picks and help analyze fantasy football for ECG this season.  It’s been awesome that he’s been able to do this.  These have been some of the more viewed articles.  Here is the season finale which includes his Super Bowl pick as well as a look back and forward to next year’s fantasy football WR’s and RB’s.  I’ll get my Super Bowl pick and prop bets up later today or tomorrow morning.

Hey, everyone, before I get to what you’re all waiting for (all 1 of you!), let me first thank TC for giving me this opportunity.  Like I said a while back, I originallly ‘pitched’ myself as a PA racino correspondant, yet I haven’t set foot in one since.  He could’ve just as easily said “no thanks” to any of what I’ve written, especially my fantasy football post-mortem.  I mean, heck, even *I* am getting sick of ranking players now that the season is over.  I know I said “there is NO off-season” and maybe I needed some extra time to let this season go, but right now I need a BREAK!  To wit, here’s a quick and dirty listing of RBs and WRs:

RBs

Chris Johnson, MJD, AP, Rice, Gore, Turner, Deangelo Williams, CedBen, SJax, Ronnie Brown, Jamaal Charles (although if they redo his contract, watch out for a let down), Pierre Thomas, Ryan Grant, Moreno, Mendenhall, TJones, Jerome Harrison, Beanie Wells, Matt Forte, Shonn Greene, MBIII, Addai, J-Stew, Reggie Bush, Brandon Jacobs, Steve Slaton.

WRs

Andre Johnson, Wayne, Colston, Austin, Rice, VJax, DJax, Randy Moss, Roddy White, Julian Edelman, Calvin Johnson, Jennings, Holmes, Steve Smith (NYG), Fitzgerald, Meachem, Driver, Ward, Nicks, Harvin, Bowe, MSW, any IND WR not named ‘Reggie Wayne’

So now that that’s out of the way and there’s only one thing left to do, you may be wondering what’s next for ol’ JMP.  Well, I’ll be fine.  The weather will warm up, the busses to AC continue to run, and when I run out of bacon, I can take a pork belly over to Parx b/c I hear it’s a veritable smokehouse.  Also, what I’m guessing is a temporary casino with the SugarHouse label is supposed to open on the Philly waterfront in July.  Perhaps I’ll make my way over there.

Okay, enough padding.  If you’ve made it this far, congratulations!  Here’s your reward.  In Sunday’s big game, the Colts are favored by 5 (so says vegas.com).  I’m reminded something ESPN’s Gregg Easterbrook wrote a few years back: in games where it’s easy to say it’s one vs the other, it’s ’something else’ that decides the game.  On Sunday, we’ll have two dominant aerial attacks and two mediocre defenses – one that thrives more on turnovers than the other (N’awlins).  Let’s see Peyton brings his A game and doesn’t throw a pick.  That leaves the running games; I think IND can run on the Saints.  I don’t have the same confidence in the Saints to run on the Colts.  5 is a high number for me to consider laying, but I’m going to do so.

Again, thanks for reading, and I’ll be in touch!

ps. 2-0 in Championship week, 4-6 in the playoffs overall.

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Part 3 of Super Bowl Prop bets.  I’m not normally a prop bettor, but I usually make a handful of small prop picks for the Super Bowl.  Earlier this week I had the game prop bets, and Colts prop bets.  Today I go with the Saints individual and team prop bets.  Later this week I’ll study things and make my picks.

All odds are from sportsbook.com and will likely change throughout the week.

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Part 2 of Super Bowl Prop bets.  I’m not normally a prop bettor, but I usually make a handful of small prop picks for the Super Bowl.  Yesterday I had the game prop bets.  Today I go with the Colts individual and team prop bets.  Tomorrow the Saints.

All odds are from sportsbook.com and will likely change throughout the week.

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The countdown is on for the Super Bowl.  All week I’ll be posting different bets available for the game.  I don’t care about the non-football bets so I won’t be posting how long the national anthem will take.  I’ll also be researching the options and make a handful of picks before game day.

All odds are from sportsbook.com and will likely change throughout the week.

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The Super Bowl is almost upon us and the Jets are still alive!  What a great playoff run.  We keep JMP’s picks going.  As you’ll see, fantasy football wrap ups continue next week.

NYJ @ IND (-7.5): The Colts were well on their way to covering a spread like this when they pulled most/all their starters and blew any chance at a perfect season.  I don’t think the Jets can keep this close.  It’s been a great ride, but it’s over.  Colts to cover.

MIN @ NO (-3.5): interesting line; I would’ve expected 3.  I really think the Vikes have a chance to win this.  NO hasn’t been able to stop the run well since Sedrick Ellis returned from injury and if their secondary isn’t getting picks, their pass D isn’t great either.  This should be a high scoring game that comes down to a FG, either way.  So that extra half-point is key.  I like the Vikes.

Back next week with WR rankings and then in 2 weeks with RB rankings and I guess I’ll pick the last game of the season too!

Last week: 1-4

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Welcome back to JMPlayoff Picks!  1-3 last week, but it still beats Bill Simmons who went 0-4.  My lone bright spot was the J-E-T-S Jets Jets Jets.  Let’s see if I continue to roll with them, shall we?  Once again, these lines are from vegas.com.

ARI @ NO (-7) – Arizona’s win over Green Bay was the misfire that bothered me the least.  It was a back and forth affair; had Aaron Rodgers connected with Greg Jennings on that long pass in OT, GB most likely would’ve won.  I’m going to pick the Cards here, as I don’t like the way the Saints ended their season and am concerned about the rust factor.

BAL @ IND (-6.5) – Baltimore’s thrashing of the Pats bothered me a lot, relatively speaking, mainly b/c it seemed like the Pats didn’t even bother to show up!  I’d like to think Peyton and Company show up, but Baltimore always plays them tough.  I like the Ravens to beat the spread here.

DAL @ MIN (-3) – Dallas’ win also irked me b/c the Eagles failed to show up, as well.  Now we’ve got Wade Phillips against Brad Childress.  Ugh.  Dallas is playing some inspired ball right now and the ‘vaunted’ MIN D hasn’t been the same since EJ Henderson got injured and Antoine ‘Toast’ Winfield got ‘healthy’.  This game has ‘push’ written all over it, but just in case it doesn’t turn out that way, I’ll take the ’boys.

NYJ @ SD (-7) – everyone loves the Chargers this year.  That means this is the year Norv screws the proverbial pooch.  If they don’t lose outright this week, they probably will next week.  So let’s spend another week on the Jets bandwagon, since a good running game and a great D travel well, even with a rookie QB.

Last week: 1-3

Overall playoffs: 1-3

Regular season: 124-129-3

Tight End rankings

What?  You thought I was gonna give up the good stuff (RBs and WRs) prior to the Super Bowl?  Oh no.  I whetted your appetites last week with QBs, but you’ll have to keep reading for a couple of weeks more to get the ‘good stuff’.  That said, TEs are important to me, as in my money league they are the only ones who get a PPR bonus.  So, without further ado…

1)      Dallas Clark – wrests the top spot away from such luminaries as Tony Gonzalez and Antonio Gates.  Never stays in to block, gets the looks at the goal line, has a stud QB.  Quite frankly, that’s all you need!

2)      Antonio Gates – kept out of the top spot b/c Rivers never looks his way at the goal line and will disappear in games where Vincent Jackson can beat his man.

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